← Home / Spain / La Liga / Matches / Atl. Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano

Atl. Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Win Probability

Atl. Madrid has a 65% chance to win.
La Liga
Sun, May 16, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
La Liga
Atl. Madrid
9-1-2Rating 1960
Form: LWWWW
vs
Model Probability
65%
Draw 21%
15%
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
3-4-5Rating 1816
Form: LWLDD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Rayo Vallecano

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%4.4%5.1%11.0%
If Win <1%6.3%7.0%6.8%
If Draw <1%4.1%5.5%10.4%
If Lose <1%3.6%5.1%13.4%

Atl. Madrid

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 2.6%97.5%1.5%<1%
If Win 2.5%98.2%1.2%<1%
If Draw 1.5%97.1%1.6%<1%
If Lose 1.2%95.5%2.7%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Atl. MadridStatRayo Vallecano
12Games played12
1.9Avg goals scored1.2
0.8Avg goals conceded1.8
75% / 8% / 17%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 33% / 42%
67% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Atl. MadridStatRayo Vallecano
17All-time wins (22 meetings, 3 draws)2
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
2.2Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2026-02-15): Rayo Vallecano 3–0 Atl. Madrid