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Final Score: Denmark 2–4 Portugal
UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 4 · Round 3
Thu, Oct 1, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM BST

Denmark vs Portugal Prediction & Win Probability

Before kickoff, Portugal had a 45% chance to win, with a 29% chance of a draw.

Rating 1829 · World #19
Form: WLDWL
VS
Rating 1961 · World #6
Form: WWLWD
Pre-match probability
25%
45%
Draw 29%

League A ยท Group 4

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Portugal 4 12 1961 100% <1% <1% <1%
2 Denmark 4 6 1829 <1% 62% 35% 2%
3 Wales 4 3 1718 <1% 3% 29% 68%
4 Norway 4 3 1837 <1% 34% 36% 30%
Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 8 internationals in any competition
DenmarkStatPortugal
4-2-2Won-Drawn-Lost5-2-1
2.75Avg goals scored2.5
1.38Avg goals conceded0.62
1829Rating1961
#19World rank#6

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
DenmarkStatPortugal
2Wins (8 meetings, 0 draws)6
1Last 5 meetings (0 draws)4
1.25Average goals2.0
Last meeting (Thu, Oct 1, 2026, Nations League): Denmark 2–4 Portugal

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Denmark

vs Wales
Sun, Sep 27, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 55%
2–0
@ Norway
Thu, Sep 24, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 28%
2–3
@ Czech Republic
Tue, Mar 31, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 44%
1–1
vs North Macedonia
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 70%
4–0
@ Scotland
Tue, Nov 18, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 45%
2–4

๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡น Portugal

@ Norway
Sun, Sep 27, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 42%
2–1
vs Wales
Thu, Sep 24, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 70%
1–0
vs Spain
Mon, Jul 6, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 24%
0–1
vs Croatia
Thu, Jul 2, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 45%
2–1
@ Colombia
Sat, Jun 27, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 36%
0–0