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Final Score: Portugal 2–1 Norway
UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 4 · Round 4
Sun, Oct 4, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM BST

Portugal vs Norway Prediction & Win Probability

Before kickoff, Portugal had a 57% chance to win, with a 26% chance of a draw.

Rating 1961 · World #6
Form: WWWLW
VS
Rating 1837 · World #17
Form: LLWDW
Pre-match probability
57%
18%
Draw 26%

League A ยท Group 4

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Portugal 4 12 1961 100% <1% <1% <1%
2 Denmark 4 6 1829 <1% 62% 35% 2%
3 Wales 4 3 1718 <1% 3% 29% 68%
4 Norway 4 3 1837 <1% 34% 36% 30%
Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 9 internationals in any competition
PortugalStatNorway
6-2-1Won-Drawn-Lost5-1-3
2.67Avg goals scored2.0
0.78Avg goals conceded1.78
1961Rating1837
#6World rank#17

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
PortugalStatNorway
4Wins (5 meetings, 0 draws)1
4Last 5 meetings (0 draws)1
1.6Average goals0.6
Last meeting (Sun, Oct 4, 2026, Nations League): Portugal 2–1 Norway