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Final Score: Wales 2–1 Norway

UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 4 · Round 3

Thu, Oct 1, 2026 · 7:45 PM BST

Wales vs Norway Prediction & Win Probability

Before kickoff, Norway had a 47% chance to win, with a 29% chance of a draw.

Rating 1718 · World #41

Form: LLDWW

VS

Rating 1837 · World #17

Form: LWDWW

Pre-match probability

24%

47%

Draw 29%

#	Team	P	Pts	Rating	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
1	Portugal	4	12	1961	100%	<1%	<1%	<1%
2	Denmark	4	6	1829	<1%	62%	35%	2%
3	Wales	4	3	1718	<1%	3%	29%	68%
4	Norway	4	3	1837	<1%	34%	36%	30%

Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

Wales	Stat	Norway
3-1-4	Won-Drawn-Lost	5-1-2
1.88	Avg goals scored	2.12
1.62	Avg goals conceded	1.75
1718	Rating	1837
#41	World rank	#17

Wales	Stat	Norway
2	Wins (2 meetings, 0 draws)	0
2	Last 2 meetings (0 draws)	0
3.0	Average goals	1.0

Last meeting (Thu, Oct 1, 2026, Nations League): Wales 2–1 Norway

Recent Results

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales

Sun, Sep 27, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 19%

Thu, Sep 24, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 11%

vs Bosnia & Herzegovina

Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 59%

1–1

vs North Macedonia

Tue, Nov 18, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 54%

7–1

@ Liechtenstein

Sat, Nov 15, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 92%

1–0

🇳🇴 Norway

Sun, Sep 27, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 28%

Thu, Sep 24, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 43%

vs England

Sat, Jul 11, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 18%

1–1

@ Brazil

Sun, Jul 5, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 18%

2–1

@ Ivory Coast

Tue, Jun 30, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 48%

2–1