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Final Score: Wales 0–1 Denmark

UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 4 · Round 4

Sun, Oct 4, 2026 · 7:45 PM BST

Wales vs Denmark Prediction & Win Probability

Before kickoff, Denmark had a 43% chance to win, with a 30% chance of a draw.

Rating 1718 · World #41

Form: WLLDW

VS

Rating 1829 · World #19

Form: LWLDW

Pre-match probability

27%

43%

Draw 30%

#	Team	P	Pts	Rating	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
1	Portugal	4	12	1961	100%	<1%	<1%	<1%
2	Denmark	4	6	1829	<1%	62%	35%	2%
3	Wales	4	3	1718	<1%	3%	29%	68%
4	Norway	4	3	1837	<1%	34%	36%	30%

Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

Wales	Stat	Denmark
4-1-4	Won-Drawn-Lost	4-2-3
1.89	Avg goals scored	2.67
1.56	Avg goals conceded	1.67
1718	Rating	1829
#41	World rank	#19

Wales	Stat	Denmark
0	Wins (5 meetings, 0 draws)	5
0	Last 5 meetings (0 draws)	5
0.2	Average goals	2.2

Last meeting (Sun, Oct 4, 2026, Nations League): Wales 0–1 Denmark

Recent Results

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales

Thu, Oct 1, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 24%

Sun, Sep 27, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 19%

Thu, Sep 24, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 11%

vs Bosnia & Herzegovina

Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 59%

1–1

vs North Macedonia

Tue, Nov 18, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 54%

7–1

🇩🇰 Denmark

Thu, Oct 1, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 25%

Sun, Sep 27, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 55%

Thu, Sep 24, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 28%

@ Czech Republic

Tue, Mar 31, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 44%

1–1

vs North Macedonia

Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 70%

4–0