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UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 2 · Round 4
Sun, Oct 4, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM BST

Greece vs Germany Prediction & Win Probability

Germany has a 57% chance to win, with a 25% chance of a draw.

Rating 1728 · World #35
Form: DWLLL
VS
Rating 1927 · World #9
Form: DLWWW
Model Probability
18%
57%
Draw 25%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 2 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท Greece

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand3%10%35%52%
Greece win 10%26%34%30%
Draw 3%11%37%49%
Germany win 1%6%34%59%

๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germany

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand41%41%14%4%
Greece win 26%36%25%13%
Draw 33%46%17%5%
Germany win 50%40%8%1%

League A ยท Group 2

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Netherlands 0 0 1950 52% 35% 10% 3%
Germany 0 0 1927 41% 41% 14% 4%
Serbia 0 0 1745 4% 13% 42% 42%
Greece 0 0 1728 3% 10% 35% 52%
Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
GreeceStatGermany
4-1-5Won-Drawn-Lost7-1-2
1.5Avg goals scored2.7
1.6Avg goals conceded0.8
1728Rating1927
#35World rank#9

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
GreeceStatGermany
0Wins (2 meetings, 0 draws)2
0Last 2 meetings (0 draws)2
1.5Average goals3.0
Last meeting (Fri, Jun 7, 2024, Friendly): Germany 2–1 Greece

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท Greece

@ Belarus
Tue, Nov 18, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 65%
0–0
vs Scotland
Sat, Nov 15, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 39%
3–2
@ Denmark
Sun, Oct 12, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 18%
1–3
@ Scotland
Thu, Oct 9, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 32%
1–3
vs Denmark
Mon, Sep 8, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 31%
0–3

๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germany

vs Paraguay
Mon, Jun 29, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 63%
1–1
@ Ecuador
Thu, Jun 25, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 58%
1–2
vs Ivory Coast
Sat, Jun 20, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 67%
2–1
vs Curacao
Sun, Jun 14, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 86%
7–1
vs Slovakia
Mon, Nov 17, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 70%
6–0