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UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 2 · Round 5
Fri, Nov 13, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM GMT

Netherlands vs Greece Prediction & Win Probability

Netherlands has a 71% chance to win, with a 19% chance of a draw.

Rating 1950 · World #6
Form: DWWDW
VS
Rating 1728 · World #35
Form: DWLLL
Model Probability
71%
10%
Draw 19%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 2 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Netherlands

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand52%35%10%3%
Netherlands win 58%34%7%1%
Draw 42%40%14%5%
Greece win 29%36%24%11%

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท Greece

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand3%10%35%52%
Netherlands win <1%8%34%57%
Draw 4%13%38%46%
Greece win 14%23%36%28%

League A ยท Group 2

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Netherlands 0 0 1950 52% 35% 10% 3%
Germany 0 0 1927 41% 41% 14% 4%
Serbia 0 0 1745 4% 13% 42% 42%
Greece 0 0 1728 3% 10% 35% 52%
Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
NetherlandsStatGreece
6-4-0Won-Drawn-Lost4-1-5
2.8Avg goals scored1.5
0.9Avg goals conceded1.6
1950Rating1728
#6World rank#35

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
NetherlandsStatGreece
2Wins (3 meetings, 0 draws)1
2Last 3 meetings (0 draws)1
1.67Average goals0.67
Last meeting (Mon, Oct 16, 2023, Euro): Greece 0–1 Netherlands

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Netherlands

vs Morocco
Tue, Jun 30, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 48%
1–1
@ Tunisia
Thu, Jun 25, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 77%
3–1
vs Sweden
Sat, Jun 20, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 62%
5–1
vs Japan
Sun, Jun 14, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 50%
2–2
vs Lithuania
Mon, Nov 17, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 94%
4–0

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท Greece

@ Belarus
Tue, Nov 18, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 65%
0–0
vs Scotland
Sat, Nov 15, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 39%
3–2
@ Denmark
Sun, Oct 12, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 18%
1–3
@ Scotland
Thu, Oct 9, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 32%
1–3
vs Denmark
Mon, Sep 8, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 31%
0–3