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Final Score: Netherlands 2–1 Serbia
UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 2 · Round 4
Sun, Oct 4, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM BST

Netherlands vs Serbia Prediction & Win Probability

Before kickoff, Netherlands had a 70% chance to win, with a 19% chance of a draw.

Rating 1950 · World #7
Form: DWDDW
VS
Rating 1728 · World #34
Form: LLLWL
Pre-match probability
70%
11%
Draw 19%

League A ยท Group 2

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Netherlands 4 8 1950 65% 22% 13% <1%
2 Greece 4 8 1752 23% 62% 14% <1%
3 Germany 4 5 1920 12% 16% 70% 2%
4 Serbia 4 0 1728 <1% <1% 2% 98%
Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 9 internationals in any competition
NetherlandsStatSerbia
4-5-0Won-Drawn-Lost3-0-6
2.33Avg goals scored0.89
1.11Avg goals conceded1.78
1950Rating1728
#7World rank#34

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
NetherlandsStatSerbia
2Wins (2 meetings, 0 draws)0
2Last 2 meetings (0 draws)0
2.0Average goals1.0
Last meeting (Sun, Oct 4, 2026, Nations League): Netherlands 2–1 Serbia