โ† Home / UEFA Nations League / Matchups / Serbia vs Germany
UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 2 · Round 5
Fri, Nov 13, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM GMT

Serbia vs Germany Prediction & Win Probability

Germany has a 55% chance to win, with a 26% chance of a draw.

Rating 1745 · World #29
Form: WLWLL
VS
Rating 1927 · World #9
Form: DLWWW
Model Probability
19%
55%
Draw 26%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 2 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ Serbia

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand4%13%42%42%
Serbia win 11%30%39%21%
Draw 4%14%41%41%
Germany win 1%7%43%49%

๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germany

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand41%41%14%4%
Serbia win 23%37%28%11%
Draw 34%44%16%5%
Germany win 51%41%7%1%

League A ยท Group 2

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Netherlands 0 0 1950 52% 35% 10% 3%
Germany 0 0 1927 41% 41% 14% 4%
Serbia 0 0 1745 4% 13% 42% 42%
Greece 0 0 1728 3% 10% 35% 52%
Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
SerbiaStatGermany
5-2-3Won-Drawn-Lost7-1-2
1.2Avg goals scored2.7
1.1Avg goals conceded0.8
1745Rating1927
#29World rank#9

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
SerbiaStatGermany
1Wins (2 meetings, 1 draw)0
1Last 2 meetings (1 draw)0
1.0Average goals0.5
Last meeting (Wed, Mar 20, 2019, Friendly): Germany 1–1 Serbia

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ Serbia

vs Latvia
Sun, Nov 16, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 84%
2–1
@ England
Thu, Nov 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 11%
0–2
@ Andorra
Tue, Oct 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 90%
3–1
vs Albania
Sat, Oct 11, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 60%
0–1
vs England
Tue, Sep 9, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 19%
0–5

๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germany

vs Paraguay
Mon, Jun 29, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 63%
1–1
@ Ecuador
Thu, Jun 25, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 58%
1–2
vs Ivory Coast
Sat, Jun 20, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 67%
2–1
vs Curacao
Sun, Jun 14, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 86%
7–1
vs Slovakia
Mon, Nov 17, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 70%
6–0