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UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 2 · Round 6
Mon, Nov 16, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM GMT

Greece vs Serbia Prediction & Win Probability

Greece has a 38% chance to win, with a 31% chance of a draw.

Rating 1728 · World #35
Form: DWLLL
VS
Rating 1745 · World #29
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
38%
32%
Draw 31%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 2 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท Greece

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand3%10%35%52%
Greece win 5%17%52%25%
Draw 2%8%34%56%
Serbia win 1%4%15%79%

๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ Serbia

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand4%13%42%42%
Greece win 1%7%24%68%
Draw 4%13%46%38%
Serbia win 6%21%58%14%

League A ยท Group 2

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
– Netherlands 0 0 1950 52% 35% 10% 3%
– Germany 0 0 1927 41% 41% 14% 4%
– Serbia 0 0 1745 4% 13% 42% 42%
– Greece 0 0 1728 3% 10% 35% 52%
Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
GreeceStatSerbia
4-1-5Won-Drawn-Lost5-2-3
1.5Avg goals scored1.2
1.6Avg goals conceded1.1
1728Rating1745
#35World rank#29

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
GreeceStatSerbia
1Wins (2 meetings, 0 draws)1
1Last 2 meetings (0 draws)1
0.5Average goals1.0
Last meeting (Tue, Nov 18, 2014, Friendly): Greece 0–2 Serbia

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท Greece

@ Belarus
Tue, Nov 18, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 65%
0–0
vs Scotland
Sat, Nov 15, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 39%
3–2
@ Denmark
Sun, Oct 12, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 18%
1–3
@ Scotland
Thu, Oct 9, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 32%
1–3
vs Denmark
Mon, Sep 8, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 31%
0–3

๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ Serbia

vs Latvia
Sun, Nov 16, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 84%
2–1
@ England
Thu, Nov 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 11%
0–2
@ Andorra
Tue, Oct 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 90%
3–1
vs Albania
Sat, Oct 11, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 60%
0–1
vs England
Tue, Sep 9, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 19%
0–5