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UEFA Nations League · League B · Group 2 · Round 4
Mon, Oct 5, 2026 Β· 7:45 PM BST

Northern Ireland vs Georgia Prediction & Win Probability

Northern Ireland has a 36% chance to win, with a 31% chance of a draw.

Rating 1605 · World #67
Form: LWLLW
VS
Rating 1635 · World #59
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
36%
33%
Draw 31%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 2 position, depending on this result

πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Northern Ireland

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand8%16%30%46%
Northern Ireland win 14%25%38%22%
Draw 6%15%30%49%
Georgia win 3%7%21%69%

πŸ‡¬πŸ‡ͺ Georgia

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand12%21%33%34%
Northern Ireland win 6%12%26%56%
Draw 10%21%36%32%
Georgia win 20%30%37%12%

League B Β· Group 2

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
– Ukraine 0 0 1751 46% 30% 16% 7%
– Hungary 0 0 1720 33% 33% 21% 13%
– Georgia 0 0 1635 12% 21% 33% 34%
– Northern Ireland 0 0 1605 8% 16% 30% 46%
Promoted to League A (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League C (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
Northern IrelandStatGeorgia
5-1-4Won-Drawn-Lost3-1-6
1.6Avg goals scored1.8
1.0Avg goals conceded1.9
1605Rating1635
#67World rank#59

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
Northern Ireland and Georgia haven't met since 2010.

Recent Results

πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Northern Ireland

@ Italy
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 9%
0–2
vs Luxembourg
Mon, Nov 17, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 60%
1–0
@ Slovakia
Fri, Nov 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 18%
0–1
vs Germany
Mon, Oct 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 9%
0–1
vs Slovakia
Fri, Oct 10, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 24%
2–0

πŸ‡¬πŸ‡ͺ Georgia

@ Bulgaria
Tue, Nov 18, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 50%
1–2
vs Spain
Sat, Nov 15, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 6%
0–4
@ Turkey
Tue, Oct 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 17%
1–4
@ Spain
Sat, Oct 11, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 4%
0–2
vs Bulgaria
Sun, Sep 7, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 59%
3–0