Final Score: Reds 5 - Mets 2
Saturday, July 19, 2025 at 4:10 PM ET

Reds @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
51-47 Rating 1495
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.6
Mets
55-43 Rating 1534
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Mets
All-time wins 259 260
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.1 4.2
Last meeting 8 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Mets
Games played 98 98
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.0
Win percentage 52% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 69%