Final Score: Mets 8 - Cubs 5
Thursday, September 25, 2025 at 7:40 PM ET
Mets @ Cubs
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Mets | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 327 | 328 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 10 |
| Stat | Mets | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 158 | 158 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.8 | 4.9 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 4.0 |
| Win percentage | 51% | 56% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 42% | 61% |
Recent Results
Mets
@ Chicago Cubs
Sep 24, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 13
3-10
@ Chicago Cubs
Sep 23, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 16
9-7
vs Washington Nationals
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Washington Nationals
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Washington Nationals
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 18
12-6
vs San Diego Padres
Sep 18, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs San Diego Padres
Sep 17, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
vs San Diego Padres
Sep 16, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
vs Texas Rangers
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Texas Rangers
Sep 13, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
Cubs
vs New York Mets
Sep 24, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 13
10-3
vs New York Mets
Sep 23, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 16
7-9
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 18, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 17, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 16, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Sep 15, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3