Final Score: Cardinals 1 - Cubs 12
Friday, September 26, 2025 at 2:20 PM ET

Cardinals @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cardinals
78-81 Rating 1494
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.5
Cubs
89-70 Rating 1523
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cardinals Cubs
All-time wins 476 464
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Cardinals Cubs
Games played 159 159
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.1
Win percentage 49% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 60%