Final Score: Cardinals 3 - Cubs 7
Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 2:20 PM ET

Cardinals @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cardinals
78-82 Rating 1493
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.6
Cubs
90-70 Rating 1525
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cardinals Cubs
All-time wins 476 465
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.2
Last meeting 1 12

Key Season Stats

Stat Cardinals Cubs
Games played 160 160
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.0
Win percentage 49% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 43% 61%