Final Score: Cardinals 0 - Cubs 2
Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 3:20 PM ET

Cardinals @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cardinals
78-83 Rating 1491
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.6
Cubs
91-70 Rating 1527
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cardinals Cubs
All-time wins 476 466
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.2
Last meeting 3 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Cardinals Cubs
Games played 161 161
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.0
Win percentage 48% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 61%