Final Score: Padres 1 - Cubs 3
Tuesday, September 30, 2025 at 3:08 PM ET
Padres @ Cubs
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Padres | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 242 | 287 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.0 | 4.4 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 2 |
| Stat | Padres | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 162 | 162 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.3 | 4.9 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.8 | 4.0 |
| Win percentage | 56% | 57% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 47% | 62% |
Recent Results
Padres
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 16
12-4
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 27, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 26, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 24, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 23, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 7
7-0
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 22, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Chicago White Sox
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Chicago White Sox
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ Chicago White Sox
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ New York Mets
Sep 18, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
Cubs
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Sep 27, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Sep 26, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 13
12-1
vs New York Mets
Sep 25, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 13
5-8
vs New York Mets
Sep 24, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 13
10-3
vs New York Mets
Sep 23, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 16
7-9
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 18, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1