Final Score: Braves 3 - Dodgers 2
Sunday, October 4, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

Braves @ Dodgers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Braves
96-70 Rating 1538
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Los Angeles Dodgers +0.8
Dodgers
101-62 Rating 1587
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Braves Dodgers
All-time wins 308 380
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 3.7 4.2
Last meeting 3 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Braves Dodgers
Games played 166 163
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.9
Avg runs conceded 3.9 3.7
Win percentage 58% 62%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 63%