Reds @ Braves

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Reds 2 - Braves 3
Wednesday, September 23, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET
Cincinnati
Reds
73-84 Rating 1485
Form: LWLLW
2 – 3
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +0.8
Atlanta
Braves
92-65 Rating 1541
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Braves
All-time wins 353 327
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.5
Last meeting 4 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Braves
Games played 157 157
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.6
Avg runs conceded 5.1 3.9
Win percentage 46% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 65%