| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2011 | 2–1 | Brewers +1 | Dodgers +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| May 16, 2011 | 2–5 | Mariners +3 | Twins +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| May 16, 2011 | 4–5 | Athletics +1 | Angels +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| May 16, 2011 | 8–4 | Padres +4 | Padres +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| May 16, 2011 | 4–7 | Rockies +3 | Giants +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| May 16, 2011 | 4–0 | Rangers +4 | Rangers +0.0 | Regular Season | |
| May 16, 2011 | 19–1 | Guardians +18 | Guardians +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| May 16, 2011 | 2–3 | Braves +1 | Braves +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| May 16, 2011 | 7–8 | Red Sox +1 | Red Sox +1.0 | Regular Season | |
| May 16, 2011 | 4–7 | Reds +3 | Reds +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| May 16, 2011 | 2–1 | Marlins +1 | Marlins +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| May 16, 2011 | 4–2 | Blue Jays +2 | Tigers +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| May 16, 2011 | 1–3 | Cardinals +2 | Phillies +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| May 16, 2011 | 2–4 | Nationals +2 | Nationals +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| May 16, 2011 | 5–6 | Rays +1 | Rays +0.1 | Regular Season |