| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | 2–3 | Giants +1 | Padres +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2026 | 4–5 | Mariners +1 | Mariners +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2026 | 6–0 | White Sox +6 | Angels +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2026 | 8–3 | Dodgers +5 | Dodgers +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2026 | 3–6 | Cardinals +3 | Brewers +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2026 | 4–5 | Cubs +1 | Cubs +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2026 | 2–6 | Royals +4 | Guardians +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2026 | 1–12 | Yankees +11 | Yankees +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2026 | 5–4 | Red Sox +1 | Tigers +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2026 | 1–0 | Phillies +1 | Phillies +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2026 | 1–5 | Rays +4 | Rays +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2026 | 4–2 | Mets +2 | Mets +0.8 | Regular Season |