Heat @ Mavericks

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Heat 0 - Mavericks 0
Tuesday, December 29, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
Miami
Heat
3-6 Rating 1452
Form: WWLWL
@
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Dallas Mavericks +2.9
Dallas
Mavericks
5-4 Rating 1389
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Heat Mavericks
All-time wins 46 46
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 100.6 100.4
Last meeting 109 113

Key Season Stats

Stat Heat Mavericks
Games played 9 9
Avg points scored 116.0 112.1
Avg points conceded 122.6 110.9
Win percentage 33% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 60%