Rams @ Commanders

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Rams 0 - Commanders 0
Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET
Los Angeles
Rams
4-4 Rating 1618
Form: WLLWW
@
Model Probability
65%
35%
Projected margin: Los Angeles Rams +4.4
Washington
Commanders
2-4-1 Rating 1427
Form: WLTLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Rams

Scenario PlayoffsDivisionConferenceTitle
Now 41%8%7%4%
If Win 49%10%8%4%
If Lose 25%4%3%2%

Commanders

Scenario PlayoffsDivisionConferenceTitle
Now 21%20%1%<1%
If Win 33%31%1%1%
If Lose 14%13%<1%<1%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rams Commanders
All-time wins 11 18
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 18.3 22.8
Last meeting 28 20

Key Season Stats

Stat Rams Commanders
Games played 8 7
Avg points scored 24.2 22.7
Avg points conceded 21.0 26.0
Win percentage 50% 29%
Away win % / Home win % 67% 50%