Maple Leafs @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Maple Leafs 0 - Lightning 0
Saturday, February 20, 2027 at 7:00 PM ET
Toronto
Maple Leafs
8-9 Rating 1474
Form: WLLWL
@
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +1.2
Tampa Bay
Lightning
10-5 Rating 1549
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
All-time wins 74 55
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 3.2 2.9
Last meeting 2 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
Games played 17 15
Avg goals scored 3.6 3.7
Avg goals conceded 3.3 3.1
Win percentage 47% 67%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 100%