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Middlesbrough vs Bolton Prediction & Win Probability

Middlesbrough has a 60% chance to win.
Championship
Tue, Dec 29, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT
Championship
Middlesbrough
8-5-2Rating 1702
Form: DLWWD
vs
Model Probability
60%
Draw 23%
17%
Championship
Bolton
5-2-8Rating 1591
Form: LWLLD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bolton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%3.0%22.7%
If Win <1%<1%5.4%13.4%
If Draw <1%<1%3.3%21.2%
If Lose <1%<1%2.5%25.7%

Middlesbrough

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 10.4%21.3%57.3%<1%
If Win 11.7%24.7%58.4%<1%
If Draw 7.0%16.9%58.1%<1%
If Lose 4.9%13.3%56.5%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MiddlesbroughStatBolton
15Games played15
2.0Avg goals scored1.3
1.3Avg goals conceded1.9
53% / 33% / 13%Win / Draw / Loss33% / 13% / 53%
71% Home win % / Away win % 38%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MiddlesbroughStatBolton
11All-time wins (13 meetings, 1 draws)1
5Last 5 meetings (0 draws)0
2.2Average goals0.6
Last meeting (2026-10-23): Bolton 1–5 Middlesbrough