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Manchester City vs Leeds Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 64% chance to win.
Premier League
Wed, Dec 2, 2026 · 7:30 PM GMT
Premier League
Manchester City
7-0-3Rating 2031
Form: LLLWW
vs
Model Probability
64%
Draw 21%
15%
Premier League
Leeds
3-5-2Rating 1891
Form: WLDDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Leeds

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%13.6%8.2%3.9%
If Win <1%22.1%10.2%1.3%
If Draw <1%15.2%8.0%2.8%
If Lose <1%10.2%7.3%4.2%

Manchester City

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 12.2%90.6%3.7%<1%
If Win 14.3%93.5%3.2%<1%
If Draw 9.7%89.2%4.4%<1%
If Lose 7.1%83.6%6.1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester CityStatLeeds
10Games played10
2.1Avg goals scored1.0
1.3Avg goals conceded0.8
70% / 0% / 30%Win / Draw / Loss30% / 50% / 20%
80% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester CityStatLeeds
6All-time wins (8 meetings, 1 draws)1
5Last 5 meetings (0 draws)0
2.8Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2026-02-28): Leeds 0–1 Manchester City