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Premier League
Wed, Dec 2, 2026 · 8:00 PM GMT

Manchester City vs Leeds Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 67% chance to win.

5-0-0 · Rating 2063
Form: WWWWW
VS
2-3-0 · Rating 1897
Form: DWDDW
Model Probability
67%
13%
Draw 19%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Leeds

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%21.4%8.6%3.7%
If Win 1.7%31.7%9.0%1.9%
If Draw <1%24.1%9.1%3.2%
If Lose <1%19.2%7.5%5.0%

Manchester City

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 48.9%96.6%1.5%<1%
If Win 52.0%97.2%1.2%<1%
If Draw 42.7%95.9%1.7%<1%
If Lose 36.2%93.2%3.0%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester CityStatLeeds
5Games played5
2.6Avg goals scored1.4
1.0Avg goals conceded0.6
100% / 0% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 60% / 0%
100% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester CityStatLeeds
6All-time wins (8 meetings, 1 draws)1
5Last 5 meetings (0 draws)0
2.8Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2026-02-28): Leeds 0–1 Manchester City