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Brentford vs Manchester City Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 46% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Dec 5, 2026 · 8:00 PM GMT
Premier League
Brentford
3-5-2Rating 1901
Form: LWDLD
vs
Model Probability
27%
Draw 27%
46%
Premier League
Manchester City
7-0-3Rating 2031
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Manchester City

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 12.5%92.0%3.2%<1%
If Win 16.6%95.1%2.3%<1%
If Draw 11.1%90.9%4.0%<1%
If Lose 7.6%85.0%5.5%<1%

Brentford

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%15.7%9.9%2.7%
If Win <1%23.7%10.8%1.4%
If Draw <1%17.0%8.0%2.8%
If Lose <1%9.7%6.7%4.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BrentfordStatManchester City
10Games played10
1.6Avg goals scored2.1
1.1Avg goals conceded1.3
30% / 50% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss70% / 0% / 30%
60% Home win % / Away win % 60%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BrentfordStatManchester City
2All-time wins (10 meetings, 1 draws)7
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
0.7Average goals1.6
Last meeting (2026-05-09): Manchester City 3–0 Brentford