Premier League
Sat, Dec 12, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
Manchester City vs Chelsea Prediction & Win Probability
Manchester City has a 67% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 19%
Model Prediction Through Season
Chelsea
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 18.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% |
| If Win | <1% | 26.6% | 8.9% | 3.2% |
| If Draw | <1% | 20.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% |
| If Lose | <1% | 15.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% |
Manchester City
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 49.0% | 97.3% | 1.1% | <1% |
| If Win | 53.0% | 97.8% | 1.1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 44.1% | 95.9% | 1.7% | <1% |
| If Lose | 37.6% | 94.2% | 2.3% | <1% |
| Manchester City | Stat | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games played | 5 |
| 2.6 | Avg goals scored | 2.0 |
| 1.0 | Avg goals conceded | 2.4 |
| 100% / 0% / 0% | Win / Draw / Loss | 40% / 20% / 40% |
| 100% | Home win % / Away win % | 33% |
| Manchester City | Stat | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | All-time wins (33 meetings, 6 draws) | 9 |
| 3 | Last 5 meetings (2 draws) | 0 |
| 1.6 | Average goals | 1.0 |
Recent Results
Manchester City
vs Sunderland
Sun, Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5–3
@ Manchester Utd
Sun, Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
vs Coventry
Sat, Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
@ Crystal Palace
Fri, Aug 28, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4–1
vs Bournemouth
Sun, Aug 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1