Premier League
Sat, Dec 5, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction & Win Probability
Liverpool has a 37% chance to win.
Model Prediction Through Season
Liverpool
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 2.7% | 53.0% | 9.3% | <1% |
| If Win | 4.2% | 61.4% | 10.1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 2.0% | 50.6% | 10.6% | <1% |
| If Lose | 1.5% | 42.4% | 10.4% | <1% |
Chelsea
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 16.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% |
| If Win | <1% | 23.6% | 8.2% | 3.8% |
| If Draw | <1% | 16.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% |
| If Lose | <1% | 11.7% | 5.4% | 8.8% |
| Chelsea | Stat | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games played | 5 |
| 2.0 | Avg goals scored | 1.4 |
| 2.4 | Avg goals conceded | 0.8 |
| 40% / 20% / 40% | Win / Draw / Loss | 40% / 60% / 0% |
| 50% | Home win % / Away win % | 67% |
| Chelsea | Stat | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | All-time wins (33 meetings, 13 draws) | 12 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (1 draws) | 2 |
| 1.2 | Average goals | 1.5 |