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Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction & Win Probability

Chelsea has a 37% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Dec 5, 2026 · 12:30 PM GMT
Premier League
Chelsea
5-1-4Rating 1913
Form: LWLWW
vs
Model Probability
37%
Draw 28%
35%
Premier League
Liverpool
5-3-2Rating 1964
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Liverpool

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 2.0%64.7%10.8%<1%
If Win 2.9%74.0%9.2%<1%
If Draw 1.6%63.1%11.0%<1%
If Lose <1%53.9%11.9%<1%

Chelsea

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%26.1%11.6%1.2%
If Win <1%35.9%12.2%<1%
If Draw <1%24.3%11.4%1.3%
If Lose <1%17.4%10.3%1.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ChelseaStatLiverpool
10Games played10
1.9Avg goals scored1.4
1.6Avg goals conceded1.0
50% / 10% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 30% / 20%
60% Home win % / Away win % 80%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ChelseaStatLiverpool
8All-time wins (33 meetings, 13 draws)12
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.2Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-05-09): Liverpool 1–1 Chelsea