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Premier League
Wed, Dec 2, 2026 · 8:00 PM GMT

Chelsea vs Crystal Palace Prediction & Win Probability

Chelsea has a 51% chance to win.

2-1-2 · Rating 1899
Form: LDLWW
VS
1-1-3 · Rating 1849
Form: DLWLL
Model Probability
51%
23%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Crystal Palace

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%3.3%2.3%24.9%
If Win <1%6.4%4.3%17.2%
If Draw <1%4.5%2.4%23.9%
If Lose <1%2.8%1.3%29.7%

Chelsea

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%18.0%6.6%6.1%
If Win <1%22.6%7.4%4.0%
If Draw <1%14.9%7.3%6.6%
If Lose <1%11.3%5.8%8.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ChelseaStatCrystal Palace
5Games played5
2.0Avg goals scored1.2
2.4Avg goals conceded2.2
40% / 20% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 20% / 60%
50% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ChelseaStatCrystal Palace
19All-time wins (26 meetings, 3 draws)4
2Last 5 meetings (3 draws)0
1.8Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2026-01-25): Crystal Palace 1–3 Chelsea