← Home / England / Premier League / Matches / Chelsea vs Aston Villa

Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction & Win Probability

Chelsea has a 41% chance to win.
Premier League
Mon, Dec 21, 2026 · 8:00 PM GMT
Premier League
Chelsea
5-1-3Rating 1921
Form: WLWWL
vs
Model Probability
41%
Draw 28%
31%
Premier League
Aston Villa
3-3-3Rating 1943
Form: DWWDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Aston Villa

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%30.1%11.7%1.2%
If Win <1%42.2%12.0%<1%
If Draw <1%30.2%11.1%1.4%
If Lose <1%21.7%11.1%2.0%

Chelsea

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%36.0%10.8%<1%
If Win <1%45.9%11.4%<1%
If Draw <1%34.6%11.1%<1%
If Lose <1%27.1%11.5%1.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ChelseaStatAston Villa
9Games played9
2.1Avg goals scored1.1
1.7Avg goals conceded1.4
56% / 11% / 33%Win / Draw / Loss33% / 33% / 33%
60% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ChelseaStatAston Villa
16All-time wins (27 meetings, 4 draws)7
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
2.3Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-03-04): Aston Villa 1–4 Chelsea