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Premier League
Sat, Dec 26, 2026 · 12:30 PM GMT

Aston Villa vs Leeds Prediction & Win Probability

Aston Villa has a 51% chance to win.

1-1-3 · Rating 1944
Form: WLDLL
VS
2-3-0 · Rating 1897
Form: DWDDW
Model Probability
51%
23%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Leeds

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%22.8%8.3%4.0%
If Win <1%32.7%9.1%1.9%
If Draw <1%23.0%8.3%3.7%
If Lose <1%17.3%7.1%5.0%

Aston Villa

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%23.8%8.9%4.1%
If Win <1%29.2%9.4%1.8%
If Draw <1%20.4%8.2%3.7%
If Lose <1%15.8%7.7%6.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Aston VillaStatLeeds
5Games played5
0.8Avg goals scored1.4
1.8Avg goals conceded0.6
20% / 20% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 60% / 0%
0% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Aston VillaStatLeeds
5All-time wins (14 meetings, 6 draws)3
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
1.3Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-02-21): Aston Villa 1–1 Leeds