Newcastle vs Manchester City Prediction & Win Probability
Manchester City has a 47% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Dec 26, 2026 · 8:00 PM GMT
Model Prediction Through Season
Manchester City
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 12.5% | 91.7% | 2.9% | <1% |
| If Win | 15.7% | 94.5% | 2.6% | <1% |
| If Draw | 10.4% | 91.0% | 3.6% | <1% |
| If Lose | 8.3% | 85.9% | 5.2% | <1% |
Newcastle
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 7.7% |
| If Win | <1% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| If Draw | <1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% |
| If Lose | <1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 10.2% |
| Newcastle | Stat | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Games played | 10 |
| 1.3 | Avg goals scored | 2.1 |
| 1.6 | Avg goals conceded | 1.3 |
| 30% / 30% / 40% | Win / Draw / Loss | 70% / 0% / 30% |
| 20% | Home win % / Away win % | 60% |
| Newcastle | Stat | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | All-time wins (30 meetings, 4 draws) | 24 |
| 1 | Last 5 meetings (1 draws) | 3 |
| 0.8 | Average goals | 2.8 |