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Everton vs Manchester City Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 46% chance to win.
Premier League
Tue, Dec 29, 2026 · 8:15 PM GMT
Premier League
Everton
4-4-2Rating 1901
Form: WWLLD
vs
Model Probability
27%
Draw 27%
46%
Premier League
Manchester City
7-0-3Rating 2031
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Manchester City

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 12.8%90.8%3.7%<1%
If Win 15.4%94.5%2.8%<1%
If Draw 10.7%90.9%3.9%<1%
If Lose 9.0%87.4%5.0%<1%

Everton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%18.9%8.5%2.2%
If Win <1%25.4%11.2%<1%
If Draw <1%18.2%9.9%2.1%
If Lose <1%13.8%8.5%2.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

EvertonStatManchester City
10Games played10
1.2Avg goals scored2.1
1.0Avg goals conceded1.3
40% / 40% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss70% / 0% / 30%
60% Home win % / Away win % 60%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
EvertonStatManchester City
7All-time wins (34 meetings, 8 draws)19
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
1.0Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-05-04): Everton 3–3 Manchester City