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Premier League
Fri, Jan 1, 2027 · 8:00 PM GMT

Leeds vs Everton Prediction & Win Probability

Leeds has a 44% chance to win.

2-3-0 · Rating 1897
Form: DWDDW
VS
2-3-0 · Rating 1897
Form: WDDDW
Model Probability
44%
28%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Everton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%21.2%6.4%3.9%
If Win <1%27.6%9.7%2.5%
If Draw <1%20.5%7.6%4.2%
If Lose <1%15.6%6.2%6.0%

Leeds

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%21.2%7.7%5.2%
If Win <1%28.7%10.1%2.4%
If Draw <1%19.1%7.9%3.9%
If Lose <1%14.8%6.0%6.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LeedsStatEverton
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored1.2
0.6Avg goals conceded0.6
40% / 60% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 60% / 0%
33% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LeedsStatEverton
2All-time wins (8 meetings, 3 draws)3
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
0.9Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-01-26): Everton 1–1 Leeds