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Premier League
Wed, Jan 6, 2027 · 8:15 PM GMT

Leeds vs Manchester City Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 51% chance to win.

2-3-0 · Rating 1897
Form: DWDDW
VS
5-0-0 · Rating 2063
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
23%
51%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Manchester City

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 47.4%96.1%1.6%<1%
If Win 53.7%98.7%<1%<1%
If Draw 44.5%96.6%1.6%<1%
If Lose 39.4%94.4%2.1%<1%

Leeds

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%22.1%8.8%3.7%
If Win 1.1%30.7%9.3%1.5%
If Draw <1%23.6%8.7%3.6%
If Lose <1%18.2%7.9%4.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LeedsStatManchester City
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored2.6
0.6Avg goals conceded1.0
40% / 60% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss100% / 0% / 0%
33% Home win % / Away win % 100%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LeedsStatManchester City
1All-time wins (8 meetings, 1 draws)6
0Last 5 meetings (0 draws)5
0.9Average goals2.8
Last meeting (2026-02-28): Leeds 0–1 Manchester City