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Premier League
Sat, Jan 16, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Manchester City vs Nottingham Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 70% chance to win.

5-0-0 · Rating 2063
Form: WWWWW
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1873
Form: LWDDL
Model Probability
70%
12%
Draw 18%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Nottingham

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%6.8%3.4%16.4%
If Win <1%12.0%5.4%8.7%
If Draw <1%6.8%4.3%14.4%
If Lose <1%5.8%3.7%16.2%

Manchester City

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 47.7%96.5%1.2%<1%
If Win 52.3%97.8%<1%<1%
If Draw 43.8%95.7%2.0%<1%
If Lose 38.4%94.7%2.1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester CityStatNottingham
5Games played5
2.6Avg goals scored0.8
1.0Avg goals conceded1.0
100% / 0% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
100% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester CityStatNottingham
4All-time wins (7 meetings, 2 draws)1
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
2.1Average goals0.7
Last meeting (2026-03-04): Manchester City 2–2 Nottingham