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Premier League
Tue, Jan 5, 2027 · 7:30 PM GMT

Everton vs Aston Villa Prediction & Win Probability

Everton has a 38% chance to win.

2-3-0 · Rating 1897
Form: WDDDW
VS
1-1-3 · Rating 1944
Form: WLDLL
Model Probability
38%
34%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Aston Villa

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%25.3%9.2%4.4%
If Win <1%30.9%8.4%2.3%
If Draw <1%23.5%8.4%3.9%
If Lose <1%16.9%7.6%4.9%

Everton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%20.7%7.3%4.2%
If Win <1%26.8%8.1%2.6%
If Draw <1%18.2%8.3%4.1%
If Lose <1%12.6%7.3%7.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

EvertonStatAston Villa
5Games played5
1.2Avg goals scored0.8
0.6Avg goals conceded1.8
40% / 60% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 20% / 60%
67% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
EvertonStatAston Villa
7All-time wins (27 meetings, 9 draws)11
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.3Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-01-18): Aston Villa 0–1 Everton