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Premier League
Sat, Dec 26, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT

Everton vs Sunderland Prediction & Win Probability

Everton has a 49% chance to win.

2-3-0 · Rating 1897
Form: WDDDW
VS
1-1-3 · Rating 1866
Form: LLDWL
Model Probability
49%
25%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Sunderland

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%6.0%3.4%18.0%
If Win <1%9.7%5.7%10.4%
If Draw <1%6.3%2.9%15.9%
If Lose <1%4.0%2.8%22.0%

Everton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%20.6%7.1%5.0%
If Win <1%23.7%10.1%2.7%
If Draw <1%17.1%7.7%5.0%
If Lose <1%15.0%6.1%6.8%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

EvertonStatSunderland
5Games played5
1.2Avg goals scored1.2
0.6Avg goals conceded2.0
40% / 60% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 20% / 60%
67% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
EvertonStatSunderland
8All-time wins (17 meetings, 4 draws)5
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.6Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-05-17): Everton 1–3 Sunderland