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Manchester Utd vs Sunderland Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester Utd has a 53% chance to win.
Premier League
Wed, Dec 30, 2026 · 7:30 PM GMT
Premier League
Manchester Utd
1-5-4Rating 1892
Form: DLLDD
vs
Model Probability
53%
Draw 25%
22%
Premier League
Sunderland
2-2-6Rating 1828
Form: WLDLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Sunderland

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%1.0%<1%34.6%
If Win <1%1.7%1.2%23.4%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%32.0%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%41.0%

Manchester Utd

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%3.3%2.7%14.8%
If Win <1%4.8%4.4%10.3%
If Draw <1%2.4%1.9%16.1%
If Lose <1%1.8%1.5%22.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester UtdStatSunderland
10Games played10
1.4Avg goals scored0.8
1.9Avg goals conceded1.7
10% / 50% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 20% / 60%
20% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester UtdStatSunderland
12All-time wins (17 meetings, 3 draws)2
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.5Average goals0.4
Last meeting (2026-05-09): Sunderland 0–0 Manchester Utd