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Premier League
Wed, Dec 30, 2026 · 7:30 PM GMT

Manchester Utd vs Sunderland Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester Utd has a 55% chance to win.

1-2-2 · Rating 1941
Form: DLDWL
VS
1-1-3 · Rating 1866
Form: LLDWL
Model Probability
55%
21%
Draw 24%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Sunderland

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%7.2%4.0%18.0%
If Win <1%10.8%5.4%10.7%
If Draw <1%6.9%3.5%15.8%
If Lose <1%5.0%2.7%21.0%

Manchester Utd

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%25.5%9.3%2.7%
If Win 1.0%31.8%9.5%1.7%
If Draw <1%21.8%8.1%3.7%
If Lose <1%17.7%7.3%5.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester UtdStatSunderland
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored1.2
1.6Avg goals conceded2.0
20% / 40% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 20% / 60%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester UtdStatSunderland
12All-time wins (17 meetings, 3 draws)2
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.5Average goals0.4
Last meeting (2026-05-09): Sunderland 0–0 Manchester Utd