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Premier League
Sun, Dec 27, 2026 · 4:30 PM GMT

Manchester Utd vs Nottingham Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester Utd has a 54% chance to win.

1-2-2 · Rating 1941
Form: DLDWL
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1873
Form: LWDDL
Model Probability
54%
21%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Nottingham

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%6.8%3.2%16.7%
If Win <1%12.1%5.7%8.9%
If Draw <1%6.7%4.0%14.5%
If Lose <1%5.0%3.4%18.0%

Manchester Utd

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%26.4%8.9%3.6%
If Win <1%30.5%11.1%2.4%
If Draw <1%22.7%8.5%3.5%
If Lose <1%17.5%7.7%5.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester UtdStatNottingham
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored0.8
1.6Avg goals conceded1.0
20% / 40% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
50% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester UtdStatNottingham
4All-time wins (8 meetings, 1 draws)3
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
2.0Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-05-17): Manchester Utd 3–2 Nottingham