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Arsenal vs Manchester Utd Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 71% chance to win.
Premier League
Sun, Dec 20, 2026 · 4:30 PM GMT
Premier League
Arsenal
8-0-1Rating 2090
Form: WWWWL
vs
Model Probability
71%
Draw 17%
11%
Premier League
Manchester Utd
1-4-4Rating 1892
Form: LLDDD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Manchester Utd

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%4.4%3.2%14.3%
If Win <1%8.4%5.7%7.4%
If Draw <1%5.7%3.3%12.3%
If Lose <1%4.0%2.7%16.9%

Arsenal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 69.0%99.5%<1%<1%
If Win 71.3%99.8%<1%<1%
If Draw 63.8%99.3%<1%<1%
If Lose 58.6%98.6%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ArsenalStatManchester Utd
9Games played9
1.6Avg goals scored1.1
0.6Avg goals conceded1.7
89% / 0% / 11%Win / Draw / Loss11% / 44% / 44%
100% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ArsenalStatManchester Utd
11All-time wins (32 meetings, 8 draws)13
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.4Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-01-25): Arsenal 2–3 Manchester Utd