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Brighton vs Manchester Utd Prediction & Win Probability

Brighton has a 57% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Jan 2, 2027 · 12:30 PM GMT
Premier League
Brighton
7-1-2Rating 1983
Form: WWLWW
vs
Model Probability
57%
Draw 24%
19%
Premier League
Manchester Utd
1-5-4Rating 1892
Form: DLLDD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Manchester Utd

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%3.4%2.5%16.3%
If Win <1%6.6%4.4%8.0%
If Draw <1%3.0%2.7%13.4%
If Lose <1%1.7%2.2%18.0%

Brighton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 7.8%85.1%5.6%<1%
If Win 10.5%89.2%4.6%<1%
If Draw 5.9%82.7%6.3%<1%
If Lose 5.0%77.8%7.1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BrightonStatManchester Utd
10Games played10
2.6Avg goals scored1.4
0.7Avg goals conceded1.9
70% / 10% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss10% / 50% / 40%
80% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BrightonStatManchester Utd
8All-time wins (18 meetings, 0 draws)10
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
1.4Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-05-24): Brighton 0–3 Manchester Utd