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Premier League
Sat, Jan 2, 2027 · 12:30 PM GMT

Brighton vs Manchester Utd Prediction & Win Probability

Brighton has a 46% chance to win.

3-1-1 · Rating 1956
Form: WWDLW
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1941
Form: DLDWL
Model Probability
46%
27%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Manchester Utd

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%25.9%9.0%3.0%
If Win 1.2%37.2%9.7%1.9%
If Draw <1%27.3%9.5%2.6%
If Lose <1%20.7%8.7%3.4%

Brighton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 3.8%56.1%9.3%<1%
If Win 4.4%61.7%10.4%<1%
If Draw 3.0%53.5%8.7%<1%
If Lose 2.0%45.6%9.4%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BrightonStatManchester Utd
5Games played5
3.2Avg goals scored1.6
1.0Avg goals conceded1.6
60% / 20% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
67% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BrightonStatManchester Utd
8All-time wins (18 meetings, 0 draws)10
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
1.4Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-05-24): Brighton 0–3 Manchester Utd