Premier League
Thu, Jan 7, 2027 · 8:00 PM GMT
Manchester Utd vs Newcastle Prediction & Win Probability
Manchester Utd has a 48% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 27%
Model Prediction Through Season
Newcastle
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 24.9% | 8.9% | 3.5% |
| If Win | 1.2% | 34.5% | 9.8% | 2.2% |
| If Draw | <1% | 23.1% | 8.9% | 3.0% |
| If Lose | <1% | 19.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% |
Manchester Utd
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 26.3% | 8.3% | 3.3% |
| If Win | <1% | 32.6% | 9.7% | 1.9% |
| If Draw | <1% | 22.5% | 8.7% | 3.6% |
| If Lose | <1% | 19.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% |
| Manchester Utd | Stat | Newcastle |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games played | 5 |
| 1.6 | Avg goals scored | 1.8 |
| 1.6 | Avg goals conceded | 1.8 |
| 20% / 40% / 40% | Win / Draw / Loss | 40% / 40% / 20% |
| 50% | Home win % / Away win % | 50% |
| Manchester Utd | Stat | Newcastle |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | All-time wins (30 meetings, 6 draws) | 9 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (0 draws) | 3 |
| 1.8 | Average goals | 1.2 |