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Manchester Utd vs Newcastle Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester Utd has a 45% chance to win.
Premier League
Thu, Jan 7, 2027 · 8:00 PM GMT
Premier League
Manchester Utd
1-5-4Rating 1892
Form: DLLDD
vs
Model Probability
45%
Draw 27%
28%
Premier League
Newcastle
3-3-4Rating 1890
Form: DLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Newcastle

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%6.9%5.4%7.0%
If Win <1%11.3%6.5%3.9%
If Draw <1%6.2%4.8%7.3%
If Lose <1%5.1%3.3%10.8%

Manchester Utd

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%3.0%2.6%14.9%
If Win <1%4.6%3.7%9.4%
If Draw <1%2.8%2.4%14.9%
If Lose <1%1.6%1.5%21.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester UtdStatNewcastle
10Games played10
1.4Avg goals scored1.3
1.9Avg goals conceded1.6
10% / 50% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss30% / 30% / 40%
20% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester UtdStatNewcastle
15All-time wins (30 meetings, 6 draws)9
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
1.8Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-03-04): Newcastle 2–1 Manchester Utd