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Premier League
Tue, Jan 5, 2027 · 7:30 PM GMT

Brighton vs Bournemouth Prediction & Win Probability

Brighton has a 54% chance to win.

3-1-1 · Rating 1956
Form: WWDLW
VS
0-3-2 · Rating 1890
Form: LDDDL
Model Probability
54%
21%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bournemouth

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%8.4%5.1%13.7%
If Win <1%12.9%6.0%9.2%
If Draw <1%8.7%4.4%12.3%
If Lose <1%5.5%3.4%16.1%

Brighton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 3.1%55.7%9.3%<1%
If Win 4.5%61.3%9.0%<1%
If Draw 3.0%51.2%10.4%<1%
If Lose 1.8%45.8%9.9%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BrightonStatBournemouth
5Games played5
3.2Avg goals scored1.2
1.0Avg goals conceded1.6
60% / 20% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss0% / 60% / 40%
67% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BrightonStatBournemouth
6All-time wins (20 meetings, 5 draws)9
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.1Average goals1.6
Last meeting (2026-01-19): Brighton 1–1 Bournemouth