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Premier League
Sat, Feb 6, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Everton vs Newcastle Prediction & Win Probability

Everton has a 42% chance to win.

2-3-0 · Rating 1897
Form: WDDDW
VS
2-2-1 · Rating 1916
Form: WLDWD
Model Probability
42%
31%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Newcastle

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%23.9%8.8%3.4%
If Win <1%31.1%8.7%1.8%
If Draw <1%23.4%8.8%3.5%
If Lose <1%18.1%7.5%5.2%

Everton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%20.6%7.9%4.7%
If Win <1%25.5%9.3%2.8%
If Draw <1%19.0%7.6%4.4%
If Lose <1%13.4%6.1%6.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

EvertonStatNewcastle
5Games played5
1.2Avg goals scored1.8
0.6Avg goals conceded1.8
40% / 60% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 40% / 20%
67% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
EvertonStatNewcastle
15All-time wins (30 meetings, 5 draws)10
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.6Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-02-28): Newcastle 2–3 Everton