Premier League
Sat, Jan 30, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
Newcastle vs Brighton Prediction & Win Probability
Newcastle has a 39% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 28%
Model Prediction Through Season
Brighton
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 4.3% | 57.4% | 9.4% | <1% |
| If Win | 4.7% | 65.0% | 8.5% | <1% |
| If Draw | 2.9% | 55.4% | 9.5% | <1% |
| If Lose | 2.1% | 49.1% | 9.3% | <1% |
Newcastle
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 24.2% | 8.9% | 3.7% |
| If Win | <1% | 30.8% | 9.0% | 2.1% |
| If Draw | <1% | 21.4% | 8.1% | 3.6% |
| If Lose | <1% | 17.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% |
| Newcastle | Stat | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games played | 5 |
| 1.8 | Avg goals scored | 3.2 |
| 1.8 | Avg goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 40% / 40% / 20% | Win / Draw / Loss | 60% / 20% / 20% |
| 33% | Home win % / Away win % | 50% |
| Newcastle | Stat | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | All-time wins (20 meetings, 8 draws) | 7 |
| 1 | Last 5 meetings (2 draws) | 2 |
| 0.9 | Average goals | 1.1 |