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Premier League
Wed, Feb 10, 2027 · 8:00 PM GMT

Newcastle vs Chelsea Prediction & Win Probability

Newcastle has a 47% chance to win.

2-2-1 · Rating 1916
Form: WLDWD
VS
2-1-2 · Rating 1899
Form: LDLWW
Model Probability
47%
27%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Chelsea

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%18.2%6.4%6.1%
If Win <1%24.7%8.4%3.3%
If Draw <1%16.5%7.2%6.0%
If Lose <1%13.3%6.6%7.5%

Newcastle

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%25.0%8.3%3.7%
If Win <1%29.8%9.3%2.1%
If Draw <1%21.4%8.0%3.7%
If Lose <1%16.3%6.8%5.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NewcastleStatChelsea
5Games played5
1.8Avg goals scored2.0
1.8Avg goals conceded2.4
40% / 40% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 20% / 40%
33% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NewcastleStatChelsea
10All-time wins (30 meetings, 5 draws)15
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.2Average goals1.6
Last meeting (2026-03-14): Chelsea 0–1 Newcastle