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Premier League
Sat, Feb 6, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Manchester Utd vs Chelsea Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester Utd has a 50% chance to win.

1-2-2 · Rating 1941
Form: DLDWL
VS
2-1-2 · Rating 1899
Form: LDLWW
Model Probability
50%
24%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Chelsea

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%17.7%7.2%5.3%
If Win <1%24.4%8.5%3.8%
If Draw <1%19.6%7.1%5.3%
If Lose <1%14.4%6.2%7.6%

Manchester Utd

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%26.8%8.7%3.3%
If Win <1%30.2%10.3%2.2%
If Draw <1%23.4%8.9%3.5%
If Lose <1%18.7%8.5%5.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester UtdStatChelsea
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored2.0
1.6Avg goals conceded2.4
20% / 40% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 20% / 40%
50% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester UtdStatChelsea
11All-time wins (33 meetings, 13 draws)9
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.4Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-04-18): Chelsea 0–1 Manchester Utd