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Manchester Utd vs Chelsea Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester Utd has a 41% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Feb 6, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
Premier League
Manchester Utd
1-5-4Rating 1892
Form: DLLDD
vs
Model Probability
41%
Draw 28%
31%
Premier League
Chelsea
5-1-4Rating 1913
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Chelsea

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%26.6%10.9%1.1%
If Win <1%33.5%13.1%<1%
If Draw <1%26.6%10.9%1.1%
If Lose <1%22.0%9.9%1.4%

Manchester Utd

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%3.4%3.4%15.2%
If Win <1%4.9%3.8%9.4%
If Draw <1%2.8%2.8%15.8%
If Lose <1%1.6%2.1%19.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester UtdStatChelsea
10Games played10
1.4Avg goals scored1.9
1.9Avg goals conceded1.6
10% / 50% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 10% / 40%
20% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester UtdStatChelsea
11All-time wins (34 meetings, 13 draws)10
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.3Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-10-31): Chelsea 2–0 Manchester Utd