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Chelsea vs Nottingham Prediction & Win Probability

Chelsea has a 51% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Jan 30, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
Premier League
Chelsea
5-1-4Rating 1913
Form: LWLWW
vs
Model Probability
51%
Draw 26%
23%
Premier League
Nottingham
2-3-5Rating 1867
Form: WLDLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Nottingham

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%2.8%2.3%17.9%
If Win <1%4.7%3.6%10.6%
If Draw <1%3.0%2.6%15.7%
If Lose <1%1.6%1.6%20.4%

Chelsea

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%26.1%11.9%1.1%
If Win <1%32.5%11.2%<1%
If Draw <1%23.4%11.1%1.4%
If Lose <1%16.8%9.5%2.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ChelseaStatNottingham
10Games played10
1.9Avg goals scored0.9
1.6Avg goals conceded1.3
50% / 10% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 30% / 50%
60% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ChelseaStatNottingham
3All-time wins (8 meetings, 3 draws)2
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.5Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-05-04): Chelsea 1–3 Nottingham